Where is Hurricane Nolo going?
Nolo, now a tropical storm, is about 150 mi (245 km) SE of French Frigate Shoals, with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph (100 km/h), moving west at 6 mph (9 km/h).
CPHC: “Nolo is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h) across the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument.”
- Max winds
- 65 mph
- Strength
- Tropical Storm
- Pressure
- 991 mb
Checked NHC at
Watches and warnings
From CPHC advisory 39A. Each country's weather service issues its own watches and warnings.
- Tropical Storm Warning
- The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to French Frigate Shoals
- Tropical Storm Watch
- The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from French Frigate Shoals to Maro Reef
Forecast track
Where CPHC expects the center to be, and how strong it will be. The center can be anywhere in the cone; impacts extend well beyond it.
| Time | Position | Max winds | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 22.4°N 164.6°W | 70 mph110 km/h | Tropical Storm |
| 8:00 AM Wed HSTSep 30, 18:00 UTC | 22.6°N 164.6°W | 60 mph95 km/h | Tropical Storm |
| 8:00 PM Wed HSTOct 1, 06:00 UTC | 22.7°N 165.0°W | 60 mph95 km/h | Tropical Storm |
| 8:00 AM Thu HSTOct 1, 18:00 UTC | 22.6°N 165.6°W | 60 mph95 km/h | Tropical Storm |
| 8:00 PM Thu HSTOct 2, 06:00 UTC | 22.8°N 166.5°W | 65 mph100 km/h | Tropical Storm |
| 8:00 AM Fri HSTOct 2, 18:00 UTC | 23.1°N 167.4°W | 75 mph120 km/h | HurricaneCategory 1 |
| 8:00 PM Fri HSTOct 3, 06:00 UTC | 23.4°N 168.8°W | 80 mph130 km/h | HurricaneCategory 1 |
| 8:00 PM Sat HSTOct 4, 06:00 UTC | 24.1°N 174.5°W | 90 mph150 km/h | HurricaneCategory 1 |
| 8:00 PM Sun HSTOct 5, 06:00 UTC | 26.1°N 178.7°E | 90 mph150 km/h | HurricaneCategory 1 |
Chance of strong winds by place
CPHC's chances of sustained winds at the places it lists, over the next 5 days. Places not listed have no figure; that does not mean they are safe.
| Place | Tropical-storm-force winds39 mph or more | Hurricane-force winds74 mph or more | Most likely to start |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22°N 164°W (open ocean) | >99% | 27% | Now |
| Necker | >99% | 2% | Now |
| 25°N 175°W (open ocean) | 72% | 19% | to |
| Fr Frig Shoals | 64% | 6% | to |
| 25°N 170°W (open ocean) | 57% | 7% | to |
| Maro Reef | 45% | 4% | to |
| Gardner Pinn | 43% | 3% | to |
| Lisianski | 41% | 4% | to |
| Laysan | 38% | 2% | to |
| Kure | 16% | <1% | to |
| Midway | 15% | <1% | to |
| Pearl/hermes | 13% | <1% | to |
| 25°N 165°W (open ocean) | 10% | <1% | to |
What changed since the last advisory
- Maximum sustained winds decreased from 70 to 65 mph since advisory 39.
- Minimum central pressure rose from 987 to 991 mb.