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Where is Hurricane Rachel going?

Nwest-northwest · 3 mph6 km/h · per NHC advisory 20

Hurricane Rachel is about 235 mi (380 km) S of the Southern Tip of Baja California, with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph (195 km/h), moving west-northwest at 3 mph (6 km/h).

“Rachel is moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h), and this slow westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days.”

— National Hurricane Center
Max winds
120 mph
Category 3 (major)
Cat 3
Pressure
950 mb
NHC advisory 20 · 8:00 PM MST Thu Oct 01 2026 (Oct 2, 03:00 UTC)Next complete advisory:

Checked NHC at

MMHHH5:00 PM SunH5:00 PM MonH5:00 PM Tue
Forecast conePast trackForecast track

The center can be anywhere in the cone. Impacts extend well beyond it.

What changed since advisory 19

Maximum sustained winds120 mph unchanged
Minimum central pressure950 mb unchanged

Forecast strength, next 5 days

Max sustained winds · mph

Where NHC expects the center to be, and how strong it will be. The center can be anywhere in the cone; impacts extend well beyond it.

DepressionTropical stormCategory 1Category 2Category 3Category 40397496111130120Now1305 AM Fri1205 PM Fri1155 AM Sat1055 PM Sat1005 AM Sun905 PM Sun855 PM Mon805 PM TueDepressionTropical stormCategory 1Category 2Category 3Category 40397496111130120Now1301201155 AM Sat105100905 PM Sun85805 PM Tue
Show forecast tableHide forecast table
Time (MST)UTCPositionMax windsStrength
NowOct 2, 00:00 UTC19.5°N 109.9°W120 mph 195 km/hHurricane · Cat 3
5 AM FriOct 2, 12:00 UTC19.5°N 110.4°W130 mph 215 km/hHurricane · Cat 4
5 PM FriOct 3, 00:00 UTC19.5°N 111.2°W120 mph 195 km/hHurricane · Cat 3
5 AM SatOct 3, 12:00 UTC19.6°N 112.1°W115 mph 185 km/hHurricane · Cat 3
5 PM SatOct 4, 00:00 UTC19.8°N 113.1°W105 mph 165 km/hHurricane · Cat 2
5 AM SunOct 4, 12:00 UTC19.9°N 114.0°W100 mph 155 km/hHurricane · Cat 2
5 PM SunOct 5, 00:00 UTC20.0°N 115.0°W90 mph 150 km/hHurricane · Cat 1
5 PM MonOct 6, 00:00 UTC20.2°N 117.8°W85 mph 140 km/hHurricane · Cat 1
5 PM TueOct 7, 00:00 UTC20.8°N 121.0°W80 mph 130 km/hHurricane · Cat 1

Chance of strong winds

NHC's chance of sustained winds at the places it lists, over the next 5 days. Places not listed have no figure; that does not mean they are safe.

PlaceTropical-storm force · 39+ mphHurricane force · 74+ mphMost likely to start
20°N 110°W (open ocean)>99%Hurricane-force 33%Now
Isla Socorro>99%Hurricane-force 15%Now
20°N 115°W (open ocean)84%Hurricane-force 30%
20°N 120°W (open ocean)52%Hurricane-force 11%
Isla Clarion26%Hurricane-force 2%
20°N 125°W (open ocean)7%Hurricane-force <1%—

Watches and warnings

From NHC advisory 20. Each country's weather service issues its own.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Official sources