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Where is Tropical Storm Simon going?

Nwest · 7 mph11 km/h · per NHC advisory 4

Tropical Storm Simon is about 190 mi (305 km) SSW of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico, with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph (85 km/h), moving west at 7 mph (11 km/h).

“Simon is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through today, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest to north-northwest on Friday.”

— National Hurricane Center
Max winds
50 mph
Tropical Storm
TS
Pressure
1000 mb
▼ from 1002
NHC advisory 4 · 3:00 AM CST Thu Oct 08 2026 (Oct 8, 09:00 UTC)Next complete advisory:

Checked NHC at

SH12:00 AM FriH12:00 PM FriM12:00 AM SatM12:00 PM SatM12:00 AM SunH12:00 AM MonS12:00 AM Tue
Forecast conePast trackForecast trackTropical Storm Watch

The center can be anywhere in the cone. Impacts extend well beyond it.

What changed since advisory 3

Maximum sustained winds50 mph unchanged
Minimum central pressure1002 → 1000 mb ▼ stronger

Forecast strength, next 5 days

Max sustained winds · mph

Where NHC expects the center to be, and how strong it will be. The center can be anywhere in the cone; impacts extend well beyond it.

DepressionTropical stormCategory 1Category 2Category 3Category 40397496111130Hurricane strength50Now7012 PM Thu8512 AM Fri11012 PM Fri12512 AM Sat13012 PM Sat12512 AM Sun9012 AM Mon6512 AM TueDepressionTropical stormCategory 1Category 2Category 3Category 40397496111130Hurricane strength50Now708511012 PM Fri12513012512 AM Sun906512 AM Tue
Show forecast tableHide forecast table
Time (CST)UTCPositionMax windsStrength
NowOct 8, 06:00 UTC15.4°N 103.1°W50 mph 85 km/hTropical Storm
12 PM ThuOct 8, 18:00 UTC15.4°N 104.1°W70 mph 110 km/hTropical Storm
12 AM FriOct 9, 06:00 UTC15.9°N 105.1°W85 mph 140 km/hHurricane · Cat 1
12 PM FriOct 9, 18:00 UTC16.6°N 105.5°W110 mph 175 km/hHurricane · Cat 2
12 AM SatOct 10, 06:00 UTC17.4°N 105.6°W125 mph 205 km/hHurricane · Cat 3
12 PM SatOct 10, 18:00 UTC18.3°N 105.4°W130 mph 215 km/hHurricane · Cat 4
12 AM SunOct 11, 06:00 UTC19.3°N 105.3°W125 mph 205 km/hHurricane · Cat 3
12 AM MonOct 12, 06:00 UTC21.8°N 105.7°W90 mph 150 km/hHurricane · Cat 1
12 AM TueOct 13, 06:00 UTC24.3°N 106.1°W65 mph 100 km/hTropical Storm

Chance of strong winds

NHC's chance of sustained winds at the places it lists, over the next 5 days. Places not listed have no figure; that does not mean they are safe.

PlaceTropical-storm force · 39+ mphHurricane force · 74+ mphMost likely to start
Manzanillo76%Hurricane-force 23%
Barra Navidad71%Hurricane-force 19%
San Blas59%Hurricane-force 11%
P Vallarta52%Hurricane-force 5%
Islas Marias44%Hurricane-force 9%
Mazatlan35%Hurricane-force 4%
15°N 105°W (open ocean)25%Hurricane-force 7%
Culiacan7%Hurricane-force <1%—
San Jose Cabo5%Hurricane-force <1%—

Watches and warnings

From NHC advisory 4. Each country's weather service issues its own.

  • Tropical Storm Watch
    • Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo

Official sources